We know that presidents are not infinitely powerful, especially when it comes to engineering major legislation to address complicated economic problems. What’s hard, though, in analyzing one-term presidents is knowing just how much any of this is actually within their control. This has certainly been the case with Trump, who is thought to have mismanaged the pandemic and, by downplaying the severity of the disease, worsened the partisan divides on how to best combat it. Of course, Hoover is an extreme example, but other one-term presidents have experienced a similar fate, earning reputations for being hapless and bumbling in the face of serious challenges. At the time, his name was attached to camps built by unemployed Americans as shelter when they lost their homes, and a “Hoover flag” referred to an empty pocket turned inside out. For example, to cite Hoover again, popular memory is especially unforgiving of his handling of the Great Depression. There’s also the question of how a president leads in a moment of crisis, which has been the downfall of many a one-term president. Furthemore, they generally thought Trump had done a poor job of handling it, making it difficult to untangle the public health crisis from the economic downturn it caused. It’s true that many voters still had a positive opinion of Trump’s handling of the economy even amid this year’s massive layoffs, but public opinion data also suggested that voters were particularly worried about the pandemic. So while the coronavirus pandemic was (and is) an extraordinary event, the economic crisis it produced actually falls somewhat in line with the situations faced by other one-term presidents. In contrast, Ronald Reagan and Dwight Eisenhower both weathered recessions during their time in office, but those downturns hit a few years before they faced reelection. When a crisis or a recession hits in a reelection year, that tends to spell trouble. The importance of the economy to a president’s reelection bid also hinges on timing. Bush in that year’s election, even after he had been quite popular throughout his presidency. And the rising unemployment in 1992 quickly eroded support for George H.W. Similarly, the same inflation problems that plagued Carter had previously dragged down Gerald Ford, who had lost to Carter four years earlier. More recent presidents like Jimmy Carter, who was in office during a less severe but still serious economic recession, also paid for it at the ballot box. And although Hoover did take measures to address the crisis, his view that voluntary programs were preferable to direct government involvement in stabilizing the economy ultimately cost him. It’s estimated that unemployment during the Great Depression was around 20 percent or more, and thousands of banks failed. Herbert Hoover, who was president at the start of the Great Depression, is perhaps the most extreme example. Let’s start with the biggest factor that ties one-term presidents together: a major economic downturn. This is, of course, a tricky question to answer, as there are some traits one-term presidents seem to share - a bad economy, poor leadership - but it’s hard to know how much any of those factors are actually within their control. Hot-Selling Products Frieling 5002 Electric Low-Fat Fryer / Maraehan Jackgold Air Fryer Oven / NUWAVE BRIO 4.5-Quart Digital Air Fryer / PowerXL Vortex Air Fryer Plus 5 Quart / George Foreman GHFD6800B Twist N Crisp Air Fryer / Flexzion Electric Air Fryer Cooker 1400W, 5.8 Quart (Black) / Emerald Air Fryer w/ Digital LED Touch Display 1400 Watts / SMALL FISH Air fryer Yellow Oilless Oven / SFPY Air Fryer, 4.5L Air Fryer Oven with 6 Pre-Set Functions / Brentwood Select 3.4Qt Electric Air Fryer / TOYTEXX and DESIGN Intexca US Electric Mini Portable Compact Washing Machine / Avanti Portable Compact Washing Machine for Clothes/Laundry / KVZVK Portable Mini Washing Machine / Avanti STW16D0W Portable Washing Machine / Bonnlo 26lbs Portable Washing Machine / Tiptop Home Portable Washing Machine 10L Mini Washing Machine / LEMY Mini Baby Washing Machine Portable and Compact Laundry Washer / ECPro Foldable Mini Folding Clothes Washing Machine / SSYY Portable Washing Machine Mini Foldable Washer / DYRABREST Portable Washing Machine / Skullcandy Sesh Evo True Wireless Earbuds / TOZO NC9 Hybrid Active Noise Cancelling Wireless Earbuds / Tribit IPX8 Bluetooth5.0 Deep Bass Bluetooth Earbuds / kurdene S8 Pro Bluetooth 5.2 Earbuds / Beats Studio Buds True Wireless Noise Cancelling Earbuds / TOZO A1 Mini Wireless earbuds Bluetooth 5.One of the major questions about one-term presidents is whether their fates are shaped mainly by their actions and political failings, or primarily by conditions beyond their control.
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